Forget both truth and beauty, I want to know about opportunity costs Status: Rough conceptual model. This is a personal exploration of a live policy problem and definitely does not represent the opinion of the Alignment Journal itself. Given the context, I had best disclose my own AI usage in this article: transformative. Although the original model design was mine, it was made way better by iterative refinement and re-drafting by AI, and by no means would I have had time to write it purely by hand. At the Alignment Journal we have been discussing whether to accept AI-drafted manuscripts for review. This is a relatively high-leverage question, as detecting AI-drafted prose is (currently, against authors who are not trying to hide it) surprisingly feasible, making it a cheap (albeit imperfect) proxy signal for us to use in desk review to filter out low-quality papers.[1] The ideal policy would optimize for the overall quality of the journal’s output with regard to how that serves our readers. There are many components to that; quality, readability, professional and academic norms… I ignore most of those and bloody-mindedly focus on the economic effects of AI drafting. On one hand, AI drafting lowers the cost of producing a manuscript, which may increase the flow of good work into our readers’ inboxes. On the other hand, it might instead increase the flow of low-quality AI slop into those inboxes. That is, we worry about the impact AI slop spam, as do many others ( Gartenberg…

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